After the 50-60 degree temps of Seattle, we were in Arizona today for my parents’ 50th wedding anniversary.. In short, really was loving the 95 degree temperatures. It was like a trip back to summer and it was wonderful. We took a long walk, sat outside and relished in the heat.
Irma slams into Puerto Rico today, and I can’t stop thinking about those unfortunate souls in its path. We’ve been to Puerto Rico three times, and I love San Juan and the surrounding rain forests. I can’t imagein the force of 185 MPH winds – I’ve been in only 50+ sustained and that alone was frightening, so 185 is unimaginable to me. There have only been 3 Category 5 storms that have hit the US and this is currently a Category 5 – considering all the destructive hurricanes over the years and there were only 3 Category 5 tells me how incredibly dangerous this storm is.
For nearly a week, smoke has been pouring in from the BC fires into the greater SEattle area. Technically, it is clear and warm, but it is actually hazy and humid with the smoke, and I feel trapped indoors. I haven’t been able to take my walks outside, and am really tired of treadmills. Can’t wait for the fires to end. 🙂
It is literally steamy outside. The air is reasonably heavy but the air is so filled with humidity it is hazy and almost smoky. We’ve had humidity before, but I don’t ever recall it being visible like this. Very cool. Luckily it is not too warm (70s).
Superbowl Sunday ended with mixed snow and rain falling outside. We’d watched the game at mom and dads with the rest of the family, and like most of the nation were shocked how the Pats came back to win (BTW there are several “anatomy of the comeback” stories that recounts the play by play, but I would be more interested in what tweaks the brilliant Billichek made, and also knowing if he suspected that he could wear down the Falcons at the end. Reading about him, I truly think he is a genius). The forecast had been updated in the morning for snow overnight, so I was not surprised by the mixed snow. The snow didn’t really start to stick until late, and Monday morning there was an inch in Ballard (and more than a foot in some of the suburbs), although it was pretty wet (but pretty, and was stuck to all the trees). School has been canceled for the past two days, and although the snow is virtually gone in the city it still is pretty treacherous in the greater area. There is a slight chance of snow tomorrow morning, but it sounds like it will warm up quite quickly with an inch or two of rain, which is a lot for Seattle over a day or two.
We are in the most challenging part of Seattle’s weather year – where it has been wet for months and the rain mostly goes away but it stays gray for up to another four months. Rain isn’t the depressing part of Seattle, since it really doesn’t rain all that much in terms of inches per year — what is depressing are the strings of gray days this time of year.
Today is cold by Seatttle standards (about freezing), and it is cloudy, but the sun is shining like a golden orb through the clouds and some flakes of snow are falling from the sky although the ground is still dry. We don’t get many days like this in Seattle, especially during Christmas week, and it is pretty. Yesterday was flat out clear and cold, and tomorrow is supposed to have some light snow then light rain.
In my lifetime there have been very few white Christmases. In 1983 they forecasted heavy snow but it came in as heavy rain instead, in 1990 we already had a lot of snow (a foot or more) by Seattle standards and it dumped another 6 inches early Christmas morning (i.e. overnight between Christmas Eve and Christmas), 1996 it snowed a *lot* the day after Christmas, 1997 it snowed Christmas Eve morning but melted by afternoon, and 2008 we had some residual snow from the previous week’s fairly heavy snows.
In my lifetime, most heavy snow periods last 1 to 5 days maximum. For example, in 1980 it snowed a lot on Monday and Tuesday, was clear and cold Wednesday and Thursday, and rained on Friday. That is pretty typical for Seattle’s so-called snowstorms. If I remember correctly, the years where we’ve had snow stick around for more than a week was the 1985 pre-Thanksgiving storm(s) that lasted over 2.5 weeks, the 1990 pre-Christmas storm that lasted from December 18th until about New Year’s, and the 2008 storm(s) that started in Mid-December and lasted until just after Christmas. That is about it.
Most Seattle heavy snows aren’t really forecasted until last minute — they’ll say for a few dasys “this storm is going to miss us but we might get a little snow” then the day of or day before they’ll modify it to, “Oh wait, the storm is sliding farther north/sout than we thought and we’re going to have heavy snow.” The 1990 storm they copletely misforecast (“maybe an inch or two” became a foot with high winds and freezing temperatures). In 1996 they forecasted heavy snow north of us for several days until 12 hours before the next wave hit they changed the forecast to heavy snow with the high temperature before dawn – that was fun!
I don’t know if they are outthinking themselves, using new systems or suffering from the changes of global warming, but our Seattle forecasters are missing the boat. Several weeks ago, they completely whiffed on overpredicting a dangerous wind storm that barely had any impact at all, and overall the past few years they seem to underpredict the temperature on warm days by 5 degrees. But they also seem to be consistently missing predictions on timing of storms and the amount of rain. For example, today was supposed to be rain, but between .1 and .25 inches, which isn’t much more than a sprinkle. But is raining buckets out there and has been all morning. Last week, they did something similar and I wore the wrong pair of shoes. They need to start putting more information in their forecasts, such as what all the variables are (rather than just saying “Rain”) so people can look at the information and decide for themselves.